Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 115.408977 131.241683 148.702375 169.428271 193.412374 220.356852 253.007762
2026-01-18 94.395896 115.485669 140.703227 173.243584 214.358114 264.889757 332.176278
2026-01-25 80.303806 103.418023 132.682781 172.778103 226.785524 297.720724 399.113417
2026-02-01 71.202600 95.568777 127.881798 174.382463 240.428192 332.141289 471.371066
2026-02-08 62.866726 87.333330 121.060513 171.649433 246.819154 356.319562 531.491448
2026-02-15 57.380299 82.213711 117.663434 172.877975 258.387482 388.588156 607.324892
2026-02-22 53.121404 78.276450 115.346150 175.115287 271.288580 423.894713 692.359709
2026-03-01 47.963177 72.405712 109.430747 170.953146 273.325156 441.796627 750.592754
2026-03-08 43.749333 67.536428 104.499420 167.667205 276.136419 460.889862 813.022586
2026-03-15 40.487500 63.836942 101.009139 166.259928 281.742504 485.091035 887.698020
2026-03-22 39.089887 62.993688 102.014479 172.448267 301.110180 535.744083 1019.455465
2026-03-29 37.602751 61.846644 102.363787 177.447764 318.780371 585.284168 1156.481197
2026-04-05 34.824029 58.490874 99.013762 176.184118 326.057996 618.757745 1272.440339
2026-04-12 33.068995 56.777425 98.418255 180.035501 343.903251 676.176684 1451.927428
2026-04-19 30.874179 54.061204 95.726768 179.542130 352.974773 716.910067 1602.049030
2026-04-26 29.200605 52.126161 94.257624 181.216000 366.629598 769.289617 1789.872330
2026-05-03 27.131498 49.263494 90.752736 178.363843 370.242519 799.999289 1930.765680
2026-05-10 25.749118 47.577412 89.342952 179.645896 383.007350 853.418513 2140.906234
2026-05-17 24.602771 46.243133 88.488425 181.980769 398.417622 915.438887 2387.648024
2026-05-24 22.866483 43.597744 84.754002 177.637246 397.737320 938.072232 2529.689682
2026-05-31 21.375302 41.325503 81.586108 174.208459 398.786279 965.218268 2690.968894
2026-06-07 20.193176 39.590355 79.387680 172.740102 404.431873 1005.170438 2900.095756
2026-06-14 19.796082 39.448874 80.555591 179.197465 430.830069 1104.938262 3321.119357